VDC recently published the 2008 edition of its research on Slot Single Board Computers in Volume 1 of VDC’s Merchant Computer Boards for Embedded/Real-Time Applications Intelligence Program, 2008. The base year data for 2007 from this research indicates that the actual 2007 dollar volume shipments of ATCA CPU blades exceeded VDC’s previous forecast for 2007, which was published in 2006 based on year 2005 data.
According to VDC, it appears that ATCA may finally have achieved critical mass given that the actual 2007 market value of US$ 305.3 million – materially higher than VDC’s 2007 forecast developed in Q3 2006. VDC forecasts ATCA CPU Blades projects growth for the years 2008, 2009, and 2010 that is modest relative to ATCA’s recent rapid growth amid fears that the current problems in credit and financial markets will adversely affected the communications industry – ATCA’s primary market. VDC expects that some previously planned “greenfields” deployments may be delayed.
ATCA growth will not be completely halted with dollar volume shipments of ATCA CPU blades forecast to grow 26.9% from 2007 to 2008, but this will be at a slower pace than this emerging market has moved in the recent past. Growth is projected to be 22.5% and 17.5% from 2008 to 2009 and 2009 to 2010 respectively. Higher growth is forecast to return with a 25.7% projection for 2010 to 2011 year over year.
The majority of 2007 ATCA CPU blades shipments were consumed in communications applications in the core of the network. Smaller shares were also consumed in edge/access communications applications and military/aerospace applications respectively.
More info: VDC